Prop Firm: Mixed feelings about Jordan Spieth as Nick Dunlap checks in with players at the John Deere Classic
The Fourth of July weekend kicks off with the John Deere Classic in Silvis, Illinois. The course has been widely supported by the PGA Tour since 1971, with TPC Deere Run serving as the host course since 2000, and it’s truly a classic. This must be Prop Farm’s very own “Flagship Event”, right? This is the week this column has been waiting for! Tractors, ploughs, mowers, knives and scrapers, cultivators and mulchers – all kinds of agricultural machinery can be found in the heart of farming country. John Deere has been producing Tour winners for decades, let’s see if we can help you dig in this week at the Prop Farm. Many of the tour’s biggest names will be taking a week off, which is to be expected given what has happened so far and what is to come with the Genesis Scottish Open, followed by the season’s final major championship, the British Open Championship. But despite all of this, perhaps the most famous name in the game, Jordan Spieth, will be in the field for the first time since 2015. Spieth, like many others, won his first tour victory at the John Deere Classic in 2013 as a 19-year-old. He repeated his success in 2015. Here he is, back again, headlining the field in 2024. At the betting window, Spieth’s return is garnering mixed reviews. “I am in charge of our highest percentage of 8.4 % of the number of tickets of Frank Winner Market,” said Drew O’Dell, the main analyst of BETMGM data. “SPIETH is the second responsibility of the second ratio of control to 7.5 %.”
There is nothing wrong with Thomas Gabel, the director of Borgat’s Borgat, Borgat, New Jersey. “Spieth is the best player in terms of number of entries and number of tickets. We’re betting on his matches as well.”
Tristan Davis, senior director of BetMGM’s Las Vegas sportsbook, Mandalay Bay, compared Spieth to another Texas favorite. “He’s like the Dallas Cowboys. Whether he’s in good form or not, we’re going to beat him every week,” Davis said. “Spieth is always in the red for us before a tournament.”
But here in Las Vegas, the atmosphere is very different. “Nobody cares about Jordan Spieth these days,” veteran golf bookmaker Jeff Sherman said. “Prices actually went up after we launched the Open Starter,” Sherman explained.
Neither Spieth nor Hall of Fame bookmaker Nick Bogdanovic have shown any signs of activity. “Maverick McNealy, Denny McCarthy, and Davis Riley are drawing heavy action in the outright market,” said the Las Vegas native.
As a fan, I’d love to see Spieth find success at the John Deere Classic once again but as a bettor, I stayed away. Spieth, who has won 13 Tour events, has won just two in the past seven years. I picked another favorite in Sung-jae Lim, but he’s also picked up some wins this week from Adam Svensson, Daniel Berger and Joel Dahmen. One player seems to be popping up everywhere this week. “The hottest match was Nick Dunlap vs. Keith Mitchell,” said Bogdanovic. This was echoed by Seamus Magee, a sports trader at BetMGM. “Dunlap looks sharp against Luke Clanton. He went from +110 to -105.
“Besides the favorite to win, we got a lot of money out of Dunlap as an underdog on the open market,” McGehee continued. “His total price went from +4,500 to +3,300, so there will definitely be more interest in Nick Dunlap this weekend. He would be a loser for us if he runs. ”
This week I stubbornly looked at Danlap after his top 10 last week in Detroit. It was difficult not to notice him last week, but the truth is that recently he has been a little inconsistent. He finished 66th out of 70 at the Travelers Championship two weeks ago, failing to qualify for either the PGA Championship or the U.S. Open, but finished 12th in the Workday Memorial Tournament. I didn’t want to fall into the trap of only betting on what I’ve seen recently, and the bigger picture kept me from shying away from Illinois’ Dunlap this week. Like Bogdanovich, McGehee noted that bettors at his store are piling up money on Mitchell: “In tournament matchups, Sharp predicts Davis Thompson will win over Keith Mitchell.” Started at -125, now -145.
No wonder they were the favorites to win, since Maggie came up with the last play. “Sungjae Im and Aaron Lai have almost all of the first round leaders’ money, and it’s pretty even between them as to who has raised the most money.”
Process the information, check the weather forecast, fertilize whatever interests you, plant the seeds that look most likely to yield the most at the end, and run to the window like the wind, because nothing works better than Deer.